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Extra Form
Lecturer 정은옥
Dept. 건국대학교 교수, 현 산업응용수학회 회장
date May 11, 2017
Emerging infectious diseases have long been recognized as a continuous, inevitable, unpredictable threat to the global public health. Hence, understanding the underlying dynamics why they spread and what causes epidemics gives key ideas of intervention strategies. In this talk, we will present the development of three mathematical models for the spread of emerging infectious diseases: 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic and 2015 Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak in the Republic of Korea, and the Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in West Africa. Using the laboratory-confirmed case data in the first two emerging infectious diseases, the spreading dynamics of transmission is investigated. Results suggest that heterogeneity plays a key role in the spread of two emerging infectious diseases in the Republic of Korea. Our findings show that interventions in the early stage of the outbreak could reduce the epidemic size up to 19% for the 2009 pandemic influenza, and up to 80% for the 2015 MERS outbreak. In Ebola outbreak in West Africa, we present the estimation of the number of maximum sickbeds using the controlled EVD model under the frame of optimal control theory.

  1. Harmonic bundles and Toda lattices with opposite sign

  2. Heavy-tailed large deviations and deep learning's generalization mystery

  3. High dimensional nonlinear dynamics

  4. How to solve linear systems in practice

  5. Hybrid discontinuous Galerkin methods in computational science and engineering

  6. Idempotents and topologies

  7. Ill-posedness for incompressible Euler equations at critical regularit

  8. Infinite order rationally slice knots

  9. Integer partitions, q-series, and Modular forms

  10. Introduction to Non-Positively Curved Groups

  11. Irreducible Plane Curve Singularities

  12. It all started with Moser

  13. Iwahori-Hecke algebras and beyond

  14. Iwasawa main conjecture and p-adic L-functions

  15. L-function: complex vs. p-adic

  16. Lie group actions on symplectic manifolds

  17. Limit computations in algebraic geometry and their complexity

  18. Mathemaics & Hedge Fund

  19. Mathematical Analysis Models and Siumlations

  20. 23May
    by 김수현
    in Math Colloquia

    Mathematical Models and Intervention Strategies for Emerging Infectious Diseases: MERS, Ebola and 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza

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